Is Meritocracy Possible? (A Solution)

16 April 2021

In mylast blog, I raised the following question as my sixthpandemic puzzle:

考虑到传统意义上的精英统治实际上是不可能的,把精英统治作为一种社会理想有任何意义吗?

Let me rehash how I got to the premise of that question.

I gave the analogy of a tweak that could be made to the rules of competitive running, and I called that tweak the “2nrule.” Here’s the rule:every time person A finishes ahead of person B bynseconds, A gets to start the next race against B 2nseconds earlier than B.

然后我指出,在这一改良的竞争性跑步系统中,由于随机变化而导致的早期小胜利会随着时间的推移而滚雪球般扩大,最终两个人在能力和努力程度上是相同的,但开始时却相差太大,最终总有一个人会获胜。The systematic structural features that would give rise to this outcome werelinking(the starting point of the next phase of competition is linked to the outcome of the previous) andsmall differences in early advantage(在早期的表演中总是会有随机的变化)。

If the 2nrule were in effect, competitive running would no longer be meritocratic in the defined sense. That’s because long-term rewards would end up being dramatically different for people who were equal in talent and hard work. I even showed that one person could even be a bitbetterin terms of performance in the long run but, due to a slightly worse first race plus the 2nrule, ends up further and further behind.

The point of the analogy is not hard to see: any modern economy that rewards performance with better future opportunities will inevitably fail to be meritocratic, because any such economy will also displaylinkingandsmall differences in early advantage.

因此,我们可以精心设计一个系统来奖励员工的表现,从而给予他们应得的奖励——在这种背景下,“应得”被认为是努力工作和才能的日益增长的功能——这种想法是一种不断后退的海市蜃楼。(It is, of course, an important moral question whether “deserve”shouldbe thought of that way. But my point is that even if we do think of it that way, meritocracy so defined will be forever out of reach.)

Nevertheless—and here is my answer to the question—there are two ideas we can peel off of the mirage ideal of meritocracy that might be feasible and worth striving for, with the first being uncontroversial and the second being a bitter pill.

The first is what I’ll callthe negative ideal of meritocracy.

This ideal would just limit the pernicious factors that might influence the flow of rewards and opportunities within a society: family connections, wealth, bribery, favoritism, prejudices about skin color or sexual orientation, and so on. That is, though we might find it impossible to systematically link reward with what people deserve, we can at the very least screen off clearly immoral distortions in the way rewards are distributed.

Note, for example, that in my hypothetical system of competitive running with the 2nrule, it is stillnotthe case that people get ahead due to nepotism, prejudice, bribery, etc. True, reward and just desert are far from perfectly linked, but at least that relation won’t have those added distortions. We can aim for a similar screening off of prejudice in modern economies: we might only approach that ideal asymptotically, but at least the attempt won’t be futile. And since it was part of the original ideal of meritocracy that rewards should follow desertrather thanfamily connections, etc., it is fair to say that this negative ideal was in factpart of精英政治的最初理想,甚至可能是其心理吸引力的很大一部分原因。

The second idea is justjustice tempered linking.

联系——或者说未来的回报和机会与过去的表现相联系——是任何激励努力工作的经济体系中不可避免的组成部分。问题在于,如果不为那些因无关因素(如早期阶段的随机变化)而获得成功的人提供更多机会,就没有办法实现链接(以及激励)。当然,如果努力工作得到激励,似乎对每个人都更好。

Still, that leaves a lot open. Note that in our analogy, linking was achieved via the 2nrule. But it needn’t be exactly so. We could just as well have achieved linking via a 1.3nrule, which would have diminished the degree of advantage in future races that arose due to small random differences in early success.

So the idea ofjustice tempered linkingis that the mechanisms of reward for performance, while never perfectly in accord with what just deserts would be, could still be made more or less just. For example, monetary rewards for performance could be adjusted to bemorein accordance with John Rawls’sDifference Principle, or whatever principle of justice you find most apt.

This second idea is indeed a bitter pill, because it involves acceptance of the fact that modern economies willneverbe able to get right what people deserve morally. Still, striving forthe negative ideal of meritocracyand forjustice tempered linkingwill do much to help us approximate moral desert.

That’s both the best we can hope for and the explanation for why the mirage ideal of meritocracy had so much appeal in the first place.

Photo byMatt LeeonUnsplash

Comments(7)


Tim Smith's picture

Tim Smith

Saturday, April 24, 2021 -- 8:37 PM

Blind auditions for

Blind auditions for orchestras, randomly assigning numbers prior to grading papers and the Vickrey auction are all ideas with merit that serve up merit for the most part. I'm a little more concerned with creativity, as a measure of human achievement in the long run, but merit is important as well.

At any instant in time one person is stronger, faster and more agile than another. To issue just compensation is a phantasm. It can't be done if only because people don't know their own brains. If we have to revert to justice to achieve a meritocracy I'm pretty sure we are doomed.

没有人是平等的。让我们团结起来,庆祝我们的差异,而不是花时间根据功绩来排序我们的贡献。这就是希望所在。

Harold G. Neuman's picture

Harold G. Neuman

Friday, April 23, 2021 -- 5:54 AM

I was going to say something

I was going to say something linking meritocracy with monarchy, then realized that would make nonsense. Monarchy's foundation is nothing more than the ancient divine right of kings, so a monarchy is self-sustaining, even in the shadow of the cold hard truth of its' absence of ruling power ( British royalty, for example). No, meritocracy, at bottom, is reliant upon competition, seems to me. This is one reason why capitalist economies eschew socialistic practices;why people in the United States thumbed their noses at FDR's advocacy of social security, making socialism a distasteful notion: we need to pull ourselves up by our own bootstraps, even though that roundly defies physics. There are no skyhooks or boom crutches. There are social democracies, but virtually no one believes that could work here. I have said it would be doomed because of diminishing returns: too many people to help and to few resources to help them. So, like it or no, competition forces us into meritocratic reality, while more prosperous nations with far fewer people can afford to supply greater aid to their populous. Our addiction to capitalism, and the power and prestige that brings, are necessary evils for maintenance of our world status and overall way of life. Addictions have their downsides. We have learned to take the good with the bad. The bootstrap symbolism is an empty metaphor. But it was not the first, nor will it be the lasr.

Harold G. Neuman's picture

Harold G. Neuman

Friday, April 23, 2021 -- 1:16 PM

Scratch what I previously

Scratch what I previously said about the M word. I am far more comfortable with the above remarks, other notions notwithstanding. Sorry for any typos. though. I just don't see so well now. These sorts of questions invite diverse opinions. That diversity is based in many things. Preferences, beliefs, opinions, expectations, desires and other propositional attitudes, posited by Donald Davidson. As a band-mate said, many years ago: we all have our own album to do. The content and substance of that album depends on the experience and background of the artist. There is no one size which fits all. Philosophy has proven this for centuries. Every time someone thinks he/she has it sussed, someone else steps up to challenge the status quo. This is why philosophy is an imperfect science. If it were perfect, it would be boring. Tedious. Uninteresting...I don't think meritocracy is a problem. Not, in any practical sense anyway. This assessment does not change my views on socialism. Because, as previously asserted, socialism has limited utility. It simply cannot work in countries with large populations, for the reason(s) previously advanced.

Tim Smith's picture

Tim Smith

Sunday, April 25, 2021 -- 7:29 AM

To whom are you signing over

To whom are you signing over your social security and medicare benefits?

我家附近的流浪汉在问。

Since when do roads become more expensive by scale of the populations they serve? That doesn't make sense.

The world is in flames. What non socialized fire department are you going to call?

哲学家抗议得太多了。

Matti Meikäläinen's picture

Matti Meikäläinen

Saturday, April 24, 2021 -- 12:59 AM

I’m sorry, perhaps I’m just a

I’m sorry, perhaps I’m just a little slower than most. But your so-called “solutions” seem trivial and specifically, as far as your second solution, an empty formalism.

许多年前,美国最高法院的一位法官说,法律应该只做它能做的事情。首先,你的第一个解决方案不是解决方案。这是因为它已经是精英主义理想的一部分。此外,正如蒂姆·史密斯(Tim Smith)所提到的,明显不相关的因素通常会通过合理的程序尽可能地剔除,比如“盲试”,或者像裙带关系和贿赂这样的非法因素。我注意到联邦政府对名人通过作弊让自己的孩子进入名牌大学的起诉。所以,好吧,这不是一个解决方案,这就是理想的精英制度应该发挥的作用!

Second, so-called justice tempered linking is incoherent except as an empty formalism. I.e. “...mechanisms of reward for performance, while never perfectly in accord with what just deserts would be, could still be made more or less just.” Sorry, but it sounds to me like either you threw in the towel or just announced that we ought to try to make rewards more just. Okay, how? Don’t you owe us some details?

We’re not your original issues;

1. “Given that meritocracy as traditionally defined is practically impossible, is there any point at all to appealing to meritocracy as a social ideal?

2. “...if the answer is no, then there is the further psychological question of why so many people find the ideal so appealing, given its impossibility.”

Appears like you threw non-solutions at #1 and ignored #2.

Tim Smith's picture

Tim Smith

Sunday, April 25, 2021 -- 6:07 AM

Matti,

Matti,

尼尔可以为自己说话,但让我来提供一两个可能的解释。

First, pandemic fatigue. Neil is tired. He should be. Neil, close the laptop and get some shut eye.

The other but by no means secondary answer here is there is(are) no answer(s.) I fully agree Neil offers none.

I think we all need to get more sleep and come at this because we are obsessed with it and vitally the task on the one hand has no merit and on the other is misguided.

祝你好运,马蒂。

Harold G. Neuman's picture

Harold G. Neuman

Saturday, April 24, 2021 -- 7:09 AM

好。I did not see much to

好。在此之前,我并没有看到太多关于精英制度的问题,我认为,以我的原教旨主义方式,这个想法有明显的缺陷,我不是这个问题的专家。不知道有没有人是或者自称是。但是,无论是对是错,马蒂都为我们提供了思考的素材。对我来说,关于优点的利弊的观点总是空洞的。关于法律只做它能做的事的评论令人心酸——尤其是在当前动荡的时代。我们可以考虑的另一个优点是对优点的认可是否满足了人们对权利的期望?有一些令人不安的迹象表明,事实就是如此:美国联邦医疗保险(Medicare)广告的喧嚣声不绝于耳,其中一名退役的NFL四分卫奋力争取这项福利。多年来我一直知道医疗保险的局限性。任何人,在一定的年龄,如果他们有平均的智力,至少同样意识到这些限制。 Propositional attitudes are just that. Expectations cannot always be met.